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Red64
17624.8
46284.9
455715.5
Blue85
112416.0
363414.3
206418.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions273602060801001206485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#6
24.82.3
19.021.3
Auto0.8
Teleop23.9
End0.0
red by 5.9
2064
#11
18.83.3
14.517.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop18.9
End0.0
Second
4557
#14
15.52.3
11.013.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.7
End0.0
blue by 0.5
1124
#15
16.03.3
10.313.5
Auto1.3
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
4628
#33
4.92.3
-0.91.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0
blue by 9.3
3634
#22
14.33.3
11.514.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.4
End0.0