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Red70
574611.7
23635.1
37807.6
Blue24
46284.9
51426.8
34647.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions55901001507024

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
236
#1
35.11.1
32.533.6
Auto7.1
Teleop28.1
End0.0
red by 27.7
3464
#34
7.40.4
5.55.9
Auto1.6
Teleop5.9
End0.0
Second
5746
#20
11.71.1
10.912.0
Auto0.5
Teleop11.1
End0.0
red by 4.9
5142
#32
6.80.4
6.46.8
Auto0.0
Teleop6.8
End0.0
Third
3780
#29
7.61.1
6.57.6
Auto0.7
Teleop6.9
End0.0
red by 2.7
4628
#33
4.90.4
4.54.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop5.1
End0.0