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Red121
330971.8
90011.8
70830.3
Blue112
349540.2
573721.9
131942.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10894406080120140160180121112

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#15
71.80.6
70.571.1
Auto11.3
Teleop60.5
End0.0
red by 29.2
1319
#55
42.60.6
39.239.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop42.8
End0.0
Second
708
#65
30.30.6
29.830.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
blue by 10.0
3495
#26
40.20.6
39.540.1
Auto0.3
Teleop39.9
End0.0
Third
900
#75
11.80.6
9.510.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 10.1
5737
#64
21.90.6
21.121.7
Auto0.0
Teleop21.9
End0.0