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Red190
397440.3
131942.6
393758.9
Blue122
33922.0
245744.7
560344.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1369750150200190122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#14
58.92.8
56.759.5
Auto0.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
red by 14.2
2457
#46
44.71.4
43.344.7
Auto0.6
Teleop44.0
End0.0
Second
1319
#55
42.62.8
39.842.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop42.8
End0.0
blue by 1.5
5603
#27
44.11.4
42.744.1
Auto1.2
Teleop42.9
End0.0
Third
3974
#36
40.32.8
37.840.6
Auto2.4
Teleop37.9
End0.0
red by 18.2
339
#73
22.01.4
20.722.0
Auto0.0
Teleop22.0
End0.0