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Red131
30371.5
573535.3
459320.3
Blue54
192331.1
40807.3
259423.2
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13652010015020025013154

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
303
#8
71.50.2
72.672.7
Auto0.0
Teleop71.4
End0.0
red by 40.3
1923
#62
31.10.7
35.434.8
Auto-1.2
Teleop32.3
End0.0
Second
5735
#47
35.30.2
35.135.3
Auto0.3
Teleop35.0
End0.0
red by 12.0
2594
#61
23.20.7
23.923.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0
Third
4593
#69
20.30.2
20.220.3
Auto1.3
Teleop19.0
End0.0
red by 13.0
4080
#76
7.30.7
8.07.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0