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Red113
64935.0
490944.4
547226.7
Blue162
330971.8
181633.6
17643.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91151050200250113162

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4909
#42
44.40.4
43.944.4
Auto1.3
Teleop43.0
End0.0
blue by 27.5
3309
#15
71.81.4
71.172.4
Auto11.3
Teleop60.5
End0.0
Second
649
#39
35.00.4
34.134.6
Auto0.6
Teleop34.4
End0.0
blue by 9.0
176
#35
43.91.4
42.643.9
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
Third
5472
#56
26.70.4
26.226.7
Auto0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 6.9
1816
#43
33.61.4
33.134.5
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0