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Red100
8851.9
150631.2
22829.0
Blue126
557221.1
504666.1
27134.6
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions108118050150200250300350100126

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
88
#33
51.90.7
52.651.9
Auto0.9
Teleop51.0
End0.0
blue by 14.2
5046
#23
66.10.5
66.567.0
Auto3.0
Teleop63.2
End0.0
Second
1506
#60
31.20.7
31.931.2
Auto0.0
Teleop31.2
End0.0
blue by 3.4
271
#49
34.60.6
34.034.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Third
228
#29
29.00.7
29.328.6
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0
red by 7.9
5572
#63
21.10.6
20.521.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.6
End0.0