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Qual 1252015 Curie Division
Red143
84240.5
34130.1
414630.2
Blue122
540732.5
255731.5
115648.1
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85112050100150200250143122

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
842
#45
40.52.5
37.2→39.7
Auto2.3
Teleop38.1
End0.0
blue by 7.6
1156
#22
48.10.5
48.5→49.0
Auto1.2
Teleop46.8
End0.0
Second
4146
#54
30.22.5
27.7→30.2
Auto0.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0
blue by 2.3
5407
#17
32.50.5
32.0→32.5
Auto0.9
Teleop31.7
End0.0
Third
341
#25
30.12.5
27.6→30.1
Auto2.3
Teleop27.8
End0.0
blue by 1.4
2557
#37
31.50.5
31.0→31.6
Auto0.1
Teleop31.4
End0.0