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Qual 142015 Curie Division
Red124
115648.1
414369.8
245744.7
Blue158
5742.5
299639.4
37963.1
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156129100200124158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4143
#10
69.81.7
69.6→67.9
Auto0.9
Teleop68.8
End0.0
red by 6.7
379
#11
63.11.0
59.3→60.3
Auto2.4
Teleop60.7
End0.0
Second
1156
#22
48.11.7
46.5→44.9
Auto1.2
Teleop46.8
End0.0
red by 5.6
57
#13
42.51.0
38.2→39.2
Auto-1.3
Teleop43.8
End0.0
Third
2457
#46
44.71.7
41.1→39.4
Auto0.6
Teleop44.0
End0.0
red by 5.2
2996
#52
39.41.0
40.1→41.1
Auto0.7
Teleop38.7
End0.0