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Qual 172015 Curie Division
Red182
150631.2
14893.4
540732.5
Blue136
558617.7
12046.3
573535.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16375050100200250300182136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148
#1
93.41.3
89.9→91.2
Auto11.5
Teleop81.8
End0.0
red by 47.1
120
#34
46.32.2
44.8→47.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Second
5407
#17
32.51.3
23.8→25.1
Auto0.9
Teleop31.7
End0.0
blue by 2.7
5735
#47
35.32.2
35.7→37.9
Auto0.3
Teleop35.0
End0.0
Third
1506
#60
31.21.3
41.6→42.9
Auto0.0
Teleop31.2
End0.0
red by 13.5
5586
#57
17.72.7
11.5→14.2
Auto1.0
Teleop16.7
End0.0