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Qual 222015 Curie Division
Red96
70213.8
366373.7
84240.5
Blue120
181633.6
61049.6
8851.9
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9912305015020025030096120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3663
#4
73.70.5
66.0→65.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop73.9
End0.0
red by 21.7
88
#33
51.90.2
49.3→49.1
Auto0.9
Teleop51.0
End0.0
Second
842
#45
40.50.5
33.7→33.2
Auto2.3
Teleop38.1
End0.0
blue by 9.1
610
#18
49.60.2
39.6→39.4
Auto2.1
Teleop47.4
End0.0
Third
702
#51
13.80.5
6.8→6.3
Auto0.8
Teleop12.9
End0.0
blue by 19.8
1816
#43
33.60.2
34.5→34.3
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0