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Qual 252015 Curie Division
Red166
319329.0
10776.9
300833.6
Blue116
64935.0
70830.3
255731.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11978050100150200166116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#3
76.92.4
66.1→68.6
Auto12.8
Teleop64.2
End0.0
red by 41.9
649
#39
35.01.4
27.6→29.0
Auto0.6
Teleop34.4
End0.0
Second
3008
#32
33.62.4
24.4→26.8
Auto0.3
Teleop33.4
End0.0
red by 2.1
2557
#37
31.51.4
31.6→33.1
Auto0.1
Teleop31.4
End0.0
Third
3193
#72
29.02.4
26.6→29.0
Auto1.4
Teleop27.6
End0.0
blue by 1.3
708
#65
30.31.4
28.4→29.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0