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Red224
23065.3
204636.0
10776.9
Blue179
5656.3
8851.9
84240.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156129100200250224179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#3
76.93.4
68.671.9
Auto12.8
Teleop64.2
End0.0
red by 20.6
56
#24
56.32.1
55.457.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop56.6
End0.0
Second
230
#7
65.33.4
56.860.2
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
red by 13.4
88
#33
51.92.1
49.151.2
Auto0.9
Teleop51.0
End0.0
Third
2046
#53
36.03.4
31.634.9
Auto1.3
Teleop34.7
End0.0
blue by 4.4
842
#45
40.52.1
33.235.2
Auto2.3
Teleop38.1
End0.0