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Red150
181633.6
406152.5
393758.9
Blue86
94861.2
407322.8
157451.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1331299010011012014015016017015086

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3937
#14
58.90.7
52.453.1
Auto0.0
Teleop58.9
End0.0
blue by 2.3
948
#20
61.22.1
66.164.0
Auto12.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0
Second
4061
#44
52.50.7
50.350.9
Auto0.3
Teleop52.2
End0.0
red by 1.5
1574
#12
51.02.1
49.647.5
Auto0.3
Teleop50.7
End0.0
Third
1816
#43
33.60.7
34.335.0
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
red by 10.8
4073
#59
22.82.1
18.716.6
Auto0.2
Teleop22.6
End0.0