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Red142
557221.1
37963.1
17643.9
Blue217
435518.6
14893.4
108634.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12412280100140160180200142217

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
379
#11
63.10.8
58.459.3
Auto2.4
Teleop60.7
End0.0
blue by 30.2
148
#1
93.44.6
85.289.9
Auto11.5
Teleop81.8
End0.0
Second
176
#35
43.90.8
45.446.2
Auto1.3
Teleop42.7
End0.0
red by 9.9
1086
#40
34.04.6
30.735.4
Auto0.6
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
5572
#63
21.10.8
21.222.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.6
End0.0
red by 2.5
4355
#58
18.65.2
14.119.3
Auto0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0