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Red109
23065.3
299639.4
150631.2
Blue159
300833.6
130540.5
64935.0
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14385050100200109159

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
230
#7
65.31.2
61.560.3
Auto2.4
Teleop63.0
End0.0
red by 24.8
1305
#31
40.53.1
38.841.9
Auto0.4
Teleop40.1
End0.0
Second
2996
#52
39.41.2
38.136.8
Auto0.7
Teleop38.7
End0.0
red by 4.5
649
#39
35.03.1
31.234.3
Auto0.6
Teleop34.4
End0.0
Third
1506
#60
31.21.2
39.838.6
Auto0.0
Teleop31.2
End0.0
blue by 2.4
3008
#32
33.63.1
27.530.6
Auto0.3
Teleop33.4
End0.0