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Red118
245744.7
259423.2
540732.5
Blue70
36921.1
449825.1
557221.1
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9246015011870

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2457
#46
44.71.5
44.646.1
Auto0.6
Teleop44.0
End0.0
red by 19.5
4498
#48
25.10.8
20.621.4
Auto0.3
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Second
5407
#17
32.51.5
25.727.2
Auto0.9
Teleop31.7
End0.0
red by 11.5
369
#50
21.10.8
17.418.2
Auto0.1
Teleop20.9
End0.0
Third
2594
#61
23.21.5
17.719.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop23.7
End0.0
red by 2.2
5572
#63
21.10.8
16.817.6
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.6
End0.0