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Red202
395948.9
157451.0
366373.7
Blue108
504666.1
414630.2
70830.3
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions166100050150200250202108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
73.72.0
65.167.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop73.9
End0.0
red by 7.6
5046
#23
66.10.3
61.461.1
Auto3.0
Teleop63.2
End0.0
Second
1574
#12
51.02.0
47.549.6
Auto0.3
Teleop50.7
End0.0
red by 20.7
708
#65
30.30.3
28.928.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0
Third
3959
#16
48.92.0
48.750.7
Auto1.2
Teleop47.8
End0.0
red by 18.7
4146
#54
30.20.3
24.123.8
Auto0.3
Teleop29.9
End0.0