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Red140
40807.3
94861.2
330971.8
Blue78
204636.0
90011.8
414369.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1421135010020014078

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3309
#15
71.80.1
69.869.7
Auto11.3
Teleop60.5
End0.0
red by 2.0
4143
#10
69.82.2
68.566.3
Auto0.9
Teleop68.8
End0.0
Second
948
#20
61.20.1
64.063.8
Auto12.3
Teleop48.9
End0.0
red by 25.2
2046
#53
36.02.2
37.335.1
Auto1.3
Teleop34.7
End0.0
Third
4080
#76
7.30.1
8.68.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.4
End0.0
blue by 4.5
900
#75
11.82.2
15.613.4
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0