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Red96
10776.9
565417.0
22829.0
Blue65
12046.3
435518.6
181633.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12110260801401601802009665

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
107
#3
76.91.3
76.675.3
Auto12.8
Teleop64.2
End0.0
red by 30.6
120
#34
46.32.2
49.747.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop46.6
End0.0
Second
228
#29
29.01.3
29.928.6
Auto0.1
Teleop28.8
End0.0
blue by 4.6
1816
#43
33.62.2
34.532.3
Auto0.2
Teleop33.4
End0.0
Third
5654
#71
17.01.3
15.814.5
Auto0.9
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 1.6
4355
#58
18.62.2
24.522.3
Auto0.1
Teleop18.5
End0.0