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Red102
547226.7
449825.1
540732.5
Blue132
12338.9
70830.3
406152.5
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions521210100150200102132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5407
#17
32.51.9
27.829.7
Auto0.9
Teleop31.7
End0.0
blue by 20.0
4061
#44
52.50.9
48.149.0
Auto0.3
Teleop52.2
End0.0
Second
5472
#56
26.71.9
16.218.1
Auto0.1
Teleop26.6
End0.0
blue by 12.2
123
#41
38.90.9
37.838.7
Auto0.7
Teleop38.2
End0.0
Third
4498
#48
25.11.9
20.822.6
Auto0.3
Teleop24.8
End0.0
blue by 5.1
708
#65
30.30.9
28.329.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.4
End0.0