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Red137
62330.6
341960.5
454116.7
Blue132
11628.6
524327.7
237723.4
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10968050150200137132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.5
60.060.5
Auto-0.2
Teleop60.7
End0.0
red by 31.9
116
#19
28.60.9
27.728.6
Auto0.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Second
623
#9
30.60.6
30.130.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
red by 2.9
5243
#13
27.70.9
26.827.7
Auto1.0
Teleop26.7
End0.0
Third
4541
#32
16.70.6
16.216.7
Auto0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 6.7
2377
#22
23.41.0
22.423.4
Auto0.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0