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Red0
454116.7
253716.3
558714.1
Blue0
394115.4
19156.7
291211.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333101020405060708000

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4541
#32
16.71.7
12.410.7
Auto0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 1.3
3941
#36
15.41.8
12.410.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Second
2537
#21
16.31.7
11.39.6
Auto0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
red by 4.6
2912
#37
11.71.8
11.49.6
Auto0.5
Teleop11.2
End0.0
Third
5587
#29
14.17.2
14.16.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.2
End0.0
red by 7.4
1915
#45
6.71.8
9.77.9
Auto0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0