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Red34
142130.9
11239.2
12221.0
Blue84
409920.4
558714.1
173136.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4947204060801003484

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.9
23.822.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.0
End0.0
blue by 5.1
36.02.1
29.831.8
Auto0.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Second
122
#18
21.01.0
18.217.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 0.6
4099
#17
20.42.8
12.915.7
Auto0.2
Teleop20.2
End0.0
Third
1123
#41
9.21.3
7.66.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 4.8
5587
#29
14.12.8
7.610.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.2
End0.0