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Red26
49493.5
142130.9
159919.9
Blue9
68615.1
6115.3
55204.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions432606080100120140269

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.8
22.922.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.0
End0.0
red by 15.8
686
#34
15.10.7
13.612.9
Auto0.2
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Second
1599
#10
19.90.9
14.113.2
Auto0.4
Teleop19.5
End0.0
red by 14.6
611
#47
5.30.5
7.16.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.4
End0.0
Third
4949
#46
3.51.3
4.53.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop3.6
End0.0
blue by 0.7
5520
#48
4.20.7
8.67.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.3
End0.0