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Red51
44919.8
62010.1
533822.7
Blue82
554924.6
341960.5
5312.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions346001001502002505182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#14
22.71.0
10.111.1
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
blue by 37.8
60.52.1
38.640.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop60.7
End0.0
Second
449
#23
19.81.0
15.316.3
Auto0.2
Teleop19.6
End0.0
blue by 4.8
24.616.9
27.911.0
Auto0.2
Teleop24.4
End0.0
Third
620
#43
10.11.0
13.914.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 2.1
53
#27
12.22.5
11.213.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0