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Qual 352015 Greater DC Regional
Red45
533822.7
446412.2
206812.9
Blue25
68615.1
447212.0
253716.3
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303601001502002503003504525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5338
#14
22.71.1
10.8→11.9
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
red by 6.4
2537
#21
16.30.9
12.6→11.7
Auto0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
Second
2068
#39
12.91.1
8.7→9.8
Auto0.7
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 2.3
686
#34
15.10.9
12.9→12.0
Auto0.2
Teleop14.9
End0.0
Third
4464
#30
12.21.1
12.2→13.3
Auto0.4
Teleop11.8
End0.0
red by 0.2
4472
#26
12.00.9
10.5→9.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0