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Red4
12221.0
218610.1
19156.7
Blue21
11239.2
61417.3
55204.2
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions292501020405060421

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
122
#18
21.01.3
17.115.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 3.7
614
#25
17.30.5
14.714.2
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Second
2186
#31
10.12.1
5.73.6
Auto0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0
red by 0.9
1123
#41
9.20.5
4.43.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
Third
1915
#45
6.72.1
6.94.7
Auto0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0
red by 2.5
5520
#48
4.20.5
7.97.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.3
End0.0