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Red56
482111.5
409920.4
29649.5
Blue69
206812.9
159919.9
445619.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334201001502002505669

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4099
#17
20.42.2
16.718.9
Auto0.2
Teleop20.2
End0.0
red by 0.4
1599
#10
19.91.3
17.218.5
Auto0.4
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Second
4821
#33
11.52.2
9.711.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
blue by 8.2
4456
#15
19.82.2
14.216.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Third
2964
#40
9.52.2
9.411.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0
blue by 3.4
2068
#39
12.92.2
11.113.3
Auto0.7
Teleop12.2
End0.0