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Red164
341960.5
141835.5
11628.6
Blue63
19156.7
61218.0
142130.9
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1123205010015020016463

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.53.0
49.052.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop60.7
End0.0
red by 29.6
30.90.8
26.026.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
35.55.0
30.535.5
Auto0.6
Teleop34.9
End0.0
red by 17.5
612
#24
18.00.8
16.717.5
Auto0.4
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
116
#19
28.63.0
24.527.5
Auto0.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
red by 22.0
1915
#45
6.71.4
3.34.8
Auto0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0