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Red71
61417.3
138924.1
533822.7
Blue42
36509.4
188531.4
291211.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions484610203040607080907142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1389
#12
24.12.2
20.022.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
blue by 7.3
31.40.4
27.827.5
Auto0.7
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Second
5338
#14
22.72.2
14.716.9
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
red by 11.0
2912
#37
11.70.6
11.310.7
Auto0.5
Teleop11.2
End0.0
Third
614
#25
17.32.2
13.816.1
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 7.8
3650
#44
9.40.6
10.09.5
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0