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Red85
237723.4
141835.5
189527.7
Blue0
206812.9
29649.5
447212.0
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions58280204080100120140160850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.52.5
19.221.7
Auto0.6
Teleop34.9
End0.0
red by 22.6
2068
#39
12.91.8
12.410.6
Auto0.7
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Second
27.72.0
19.621.6
Auto0.6
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 15.8
4472
#26
12.01.8
11.810.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.2
End0.0
Third
2377
#22
23.42.5
16.318.8
Auto0.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 14.0
2964
#40
9.51.8
9.47.6
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.5
End0.0