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Red64
141835.5
38327.1
61218.0
Blue69
533822.7
37485.5
173136.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7952020401001201401606469

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.51.0
33.932.9
Auto0.6
Teleop34.9
End0.0
blue by 0.5
36.00.5
33.133.7
Auto0.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
Second
383
#20
27.10.7
27.026.3
Auto0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 4.4
5338
#14
22.70.8
16.917.6
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
612
#24
18.00.7
16.615.9
Auto0.4
Teleop17.5
End0.0
red by 12.5
3748
#42
5.50.8
8.59.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.6
End0.0