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Red32
6115.3
556916.8
206812.9
Blue49
55204.2
454116.7
349030.0
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions274301001503249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5569
#16
16.80.1
15.115.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 13.1
30.00.3
28.028.3
Auto0.5
Teleop29.5
End0.0
Second
2068
#39
12.90.1
10.510.6
Auto0.7
Teleop12.2
End0.0
blue by 3.9
4541
#32
16.70.4
12.212.7
Auto0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Third
611
#47
5.30.1
5.15.2
Auto-0.0
Teleop5.4
End0.0
red by 1.2
5520
#48
4.20.4
2.22.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop4.3
End0.0