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Red33
5312.2
62010.1
61218.0
Blue40
237723.4
291211.7
159919.9
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions375001001502003340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
612
#24
18.00.1
15.915.8
Auto0.4
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 5.5
2377
#22
23.40.6
16.115.5
Auto0.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Second
53
#27
12.20.1
12.212.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 7.7
1599
#10
19.90.5
22.722.2
Auto0.4
Teleop19.5
End0.0
Third
620
#43
10.10.1
12.512.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 1.5
2912
#37
11.70.6
10.810.2
Auto0.5
Teleop11.2
End0.0