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Red42
19156.7
189527.7
409920.4
Blue38
138924.1
482111.5
218610.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494402060801004238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.70.4
26.726.3
Auto0.6
Teleop27.2
End0.0
red by 3.6
1389
#12
24.10.6
23.422.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Second
4099
#17
20.40.6
18.818.2
Auto0.2
Teleop20.2
End0.0
red by 8.8
4821
#33
11.50.6
14.413.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
1915
#45
6.70.6
4.94.4
Auto0.1
Teleop6.5
End0.0
blue by 3.5
2186
#31
10.10.6
9.08.4
Auto0.0
Teleop10.1
End0.0