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Qual 822015 Greater DC Regional
Red48
454116.7
11239.2
38327.1
Blue48
445619.8
5312.2
337312.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47431020306070804848

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
383
#20
27.10.3
26.2→26.5
Auto0.2
Teleop26.9
End0.0
red by 7.3
4456
#15
19.80.2
20.1→20.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop20.0
End0.0
Second
4541
#32
16.70.4
12.7→13.1
Auto0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
red by 3.8
3373
#35
12.90.2
12.8→12.9
Auto0.1
Teleop12.8
End0.0
Third
1123
#41
9.20.4
8.8→9.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop9.3
End0.0
blue by 3.0
53
#27
12.20.2
12.1→12.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0