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Qual 852015 Greater DC Regional
Red94
424213.9
173136.0
62330.6
Blue14
482111.5
11628.6
62010.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7645020601001201401609414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1731
#3
36.01.0
35.5→36.5
Auto0.4
Teleop35.7
End0.0
red by 7.4
116
#19
28.61.9
25.3→23.4
Auto0.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
Second
623
#9
30.61.2
25.7→26.9
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
red by 19.1
4821
#33
11.52.3
13.8→11.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop11.6
End0.0
Third
4242
#28
13.91.2
12.7→13.9
Auto0.5
Teleop13.4
End0.0
red by 3.8
620
#43
10.12.3
12.4→10.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0