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Red87
36509.4
189527.7
253716.3
Blue91
524327.7
142130.9
556916.8
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions436601001502008791

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
27.72.0
26.328.3
Auto0.6
Teleop27.2
End0.0
blue by 3.2
30.91.3
28.229.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
2537
#21
16.32.4
14.516.9
Auto0.2
Teleop16.1
End0.0
blue by 11.4
5243
#13
27.71.3
21.222.5
Auto1.0
Teleop26.7
End0.0
Third
3650
#44
9.42.4
7.19.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop9.4
End0.0
blue by 7.4
5569
#16
16.81.6
15.216.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop17.0
End0.0