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Semifinal pool 32015 Greater DC Regional
Red120
11628.6
524327.7
237723.4
Blue102
188531.4
141835.5
68615.1
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6680050100150200250300120102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
116
#19
28.60.8
25.7→26.5
Auto0.1
Teleop28.6
End0.0
blue by 6.9
1418
#2
35.50.4
35.1→35.5
Auto0.6
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Second
5243
#13
27.70.8
24.8→25.6
Auto1.0
Teleop26.7
End0.0
blue by 3.7
1885
#8
31.40.4
31.1→31.4
Auto0.7
Teleop30.7
End0.0
Third
2377
#22
23.40.9
20.2→21.1
Auto0.7
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 8.3
686
#34
15.10.4
14.8→15.2
Auto0.2
Teleop14.9
End0.0