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Semifinal pool 42015 Greater DC Regional
Red151
62330.6
341960.5
454116.7
Blue76
138924.1
142130.9
61417.3
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1036305015020015176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
60.50.8
58.259.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop60.7
End0.0
red by 29.6
30.90.1
30.730.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop31.0
End0.0
Second
623
#9
30.60.9
28.129.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop30.7
End0.0
red by 6.5
1389
#12
24.10.1
23.923.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
4541
#32
16.70.9
14.215.1
Auto0.1
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 0.5
614
#25
17.30.1
17.017.1
Auto0.1
Teleop17.2
End0.0