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Red111
238329.4
26335.2
38625.7
Blue106
350225.2
34837.4
201625.0
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8679050100150200111106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
263
#6
35.20.5
34.435.0
Auto2.1
Teleop33.1
End0.0
blue by 2.2
348
#4
37.40.5
36.036.4
Auto0.5
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Second
2383
#11
29.40.6
28.529.1
Auto6.8
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 4.2
3502
#10
25.20.5
23.824.2
Auto-0.6
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Third
386
#18
25.70.6
24.825.4
Auto1.5
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 0.7
2016
#23
25.00.5
23.624.0
Auto0.0
Teleop24.9
End0.0