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Red31
49535.7
159229.9
38625.7
Blue25
393214.0
164915.2
2114.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423902060801001201403125

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.91.0
20.219.3
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
red by 14.7
1649
#25
15.21.3
10.89.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop15.5
End0.0
Second
386
#18
25.71.0
13.913.0
Auto1.5
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 11.6
21
#37
14.11.3
14.112.8
Auto1.6
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
4953
#42
5.72.8
10.37.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 8.2
3932
#45
14.01.3
15.614.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.4
End0.0