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Red62
18019.2
12518.3
547212.5
Blue101
238329.4
159229.9
10816.5
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5654020408010012014062101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#36
19.20.4
27.127.4
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
blue by 10.7
29.93.7
19.323.0
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0
Second
125
#39
18.30.4
24.324.7
Auto-0.4
Teleop18.7
End0.0
blue by 11.1
2383
#11
29.43.7
18.722.5
Auto6.8
Teleop22.6
End0.0
Third
5472
#35
12.50.4
6.26.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 4.0
108
#30
16.53.7
18.322.0
Auto0.9
Teleop15.6
End0.0