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Red16
524320.4
61217.7
71412.3
Blue29
401318.3
2114.1
32335.1
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28310204060801001629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5243
#14Sur
20.41.2
8.27.0
Auto1.5
Teleop18.9
End0.0
red by 2.1
4013
#21Sur
18.30.2
13.813.5
Auto0.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
612
#26
17.71.2
14.513.3
Auto0.7
Teleop17.0
End0.0
red by 3.7
21
#37
14.10.2
11.611.4
Auto1.6
Teleop12.5
End0.0
Third
714
#43
12.31.2
7.26.0
Auto0.9
Teleop11.3
End0.0
red by 7.1
3233
#49
5.10.2
6.46.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop5.4
End0.0