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Red16
106530.3
49535.7
152317.6
Blue12
447125.3
451611.9
18019.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions585402040801001201401601612

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.33.6
26.522.8
Auto1.0
Teleop29.3
End0.0
red by 5.0
25.33.2
20.917.6
Auto0.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
1523
#32
17.63.6
19.816.2
Auto0.3
Teleop17.3
End0.0
blue by 1.6
180
#36
19.23.2
26.022.8
Auto-0.0
Teleop19.2
End0.0
Third
4953
#42
5.73.6
13.19.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop5.8
End0.0
blue by 6.2
4516
#27
11.93.2
10.06.8
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0