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Red52
125116.2
365312.4
71412.3
Blue132
159229.9
74446.3
34837.4
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions208205010015020052132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1251
#38
16.22.3
13.015.3
Auto0.5
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 30.1
744
#1
46.34.8
30.234.9
Auto0.6
Teleop45.6
End0.0
Second
3653
#33
12.42.3
13.315.6
Auto0.1
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 24.9
348
#4
37.44.8
24.229.0
Auto0.5
Teleop36.8
End0.0
Third
714
#43
12.32.3
4.36.6
Auto0.9
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 17.6
29.94.8
20.425.2
Auto1.0
Teleop28.9
End0.0