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Red49
459217.4
238329.4
393214.0
Blue108
350225.2
519616.2
61217.7
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57390208010012014016049108

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2383
#11
29.40.6
24.323.7
Auto6.8
Teleop22.6
End0.0
red by 4.2
3502
#10
25.25.4
20.425.8
Auto-0.6
Teleop25.8
End0.0
Second
4592
#20
17.40.6
18.918.3
Auto0.0
Teleop17.4
End0.0
blue by 0.4
612
#26
17.75.4
13.418.8
Auto0.7
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
3932
#45
14.00.6
12.912.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 2.2
5196
#34
16.25.4
9.214.6
Auto0.3
Teleop15.9
End0.0