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Red44
61217.7
324225.2
34837.4
Blue58
38625.7
341022.8
106530.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions75670501001502004458

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#4
37.42.5
35.633.1
Auto0.5
Teleop36.8
End0.0
red by 7.1
30.30.5
29.328.8
Auto1.0
Teleop29.3
End0.0
Second
25.22.5
21.819.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop25.4
End0.0
blue by 0.5
386
#18
25.70.5
20.920.4
Auto1.5
Teleop24.1
End0.0
Third
612
#26
17.72.5
19.216.6
Auto0.7
Teleop17.0
End0.0
blue by 5.1
3410
#17
22.80.5
20.419.9
Auto-0.2
Teleop23.0
End0.0