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Red68
393214.0
125116.2
162219.4
Blue117
26335.2
541020.4
451611.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3841020608010068117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1622
#31
19.42.6
16.419.0
Auto0.1
Teleop19.3
End0.0
blue by 15.8
263
#6
35.25.8
25.130.9
Auto2.1
Teleop33.1
End0.0
Second
1251
#38
16.22.6
13.716.3
Auto0.5
Teleop15.6
End0.0
blue by 4.3
5410
#16
20.45.8
14.019.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop20.8
End0.0
Third
3932
#45
14.02.6
10.212.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 2.0
4516
#27
11.95.8
3.39.1
Auto-0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0